Will Apple officially announce iPhone 18 Pro at the September 9 event?
Deadline
Sep 9, 2026
Oracle
Apple Newsroom
Volume
$41,200
1 of 5
Event Context
Apple's September 9, 2026 event is the leading predicted date for iPhone 18 Pro. Leaks confirm a foldable iPhone alongside new Apple Watches. Apple has consistently held its keynote the Wednesday after US Labor Day — sources at 9to5Mac and Forbes confirm the pattern holds for 2026.
Outcome
Pays Out
Odds
YES — Announced
Before Sep 9, 2026
NO — Delayed/Cancelled
Before Sep 9, 2026
$41,200 vol · Auto-verified via Apple Newsroom at expiry
Will Apple officially announce iPhone 18 before Sept 15, 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.39
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur3.57
PRODUCT LAUNCH
KRX
Will Samsung release a foldable phone under $800 in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.27
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.79
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NYSE
Will Sony announce PlayStation 6 before Q4 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.63
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.61
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NASDAQ
Will Microsoft launch a standalone AI hardware device in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.82
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.22
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NASDAQ
Will Meta's next-gen Ray-Ban smart glasses ship before Oct 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.64
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.56
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NASDAQ
Will Tesla deliver Cybertruck in right-hand drive companies by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs3.45
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.41
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NASDAQ
Will Google release Pixel 10 with on-device AI assistant by Nov 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.28
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur4.55
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NASDAQ
Will NVIDIA announce a consumer RTX 5090 Ti before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.13
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.89
PRODUCT LAUNCH
HKEX
Will Xiaomi's EV SU8 sell 50,000+ units globally by Aug 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.59
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.70
PRODUCT LAUNCH
NASDAQ
Will Amazon launch a physical AI retail store in a new country by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.44
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.69
MARKETING EVENT
NYSE
Will Nike sign a new global brand ambassador from Africa in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.92
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.08
MARKETING EVENT
NYSE
Will Coca-Cola run a Super Bowl AI-generated celebrity ad ?
YES — Event Occurs2.94
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.52
MARKETING EVENT
XETRA
Will Adidas launch a major K-pop artist collab before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.72
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.38
MARKETING EVENT
EPA
Will LVMH announce a new celebrity creative director for LV before 2027?
YES — Event Occurs2.22
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.82
MARKETING EVENT
NYSE
Will Spotify host a live-streamed global event with 10M+ viewers in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.52
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.94
MARKETING EVENT
JSE
Will MTN launch a pan-African youth brand campaign before Oct 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.41
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur3.45
MARKETING EVENT
NGX
Will Dangote Industries launch a consumer brand in Europe by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs4.55
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.28
MARKETING EVENT
NYSE
Will Shopify announce a major rebrand or new logo before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs5.56
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.22
MARKETING EVENT
HKEX
Will Tencent's WeChat launch a global ad campaign outside Asia in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs3.23
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.45
MARKETING EVENT
BSE
Will Reliance Jio sponsor the 2026 FIFA World Cup broadcast in India?
YES — Event Occurs1.32
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur4.17
CEO CLOUT
NASDAQ
Will Elon Musk post 200+ times on X in a single week before Sep 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.20
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur5.88
CEO CLOUT
NASDAQ
Will Tim Cook make a public appearance at a major AI conference in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.45
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur3.23
CEO CLOUT
Private
Will Sam Altman announce a new OpenAI product at a live keynote before Oct 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.14
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur8.33
CEO CLOUT
NASDAQ
Will Andy Jassy publicly commit to a 4-day work week at Amazon in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs8.33
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.14
CEO CLOUT
NASDAQ
Will Jensen Huang wear his signature leather jacket at GTC 2027?
YES — Event Occurs1.06
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur16.67
CEO CLOUT
NYSE
Will Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu give a major speech at Davos 2027 ?
YES — Event Occurs2.44
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.69
CEO CLOUT
NSE
Will Safaricom CEO announce a major East Africa expansion before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.75
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.33
CEO CLOUT
Private
Will Elon Musk personally fly on a Starship mission before 2028?
YES — Event Occurs3.57
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.39
CEO CLOUT
JSE
Will Prosus CEO announce a major African tech acquisition in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs3.03
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.49
CEO CLOUT
OMXC
Will Novo Nordisk CEO speak at a UN health summit in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.61
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.63
ENGINEERING FEAT
Private
Will SpaceX's next Starship test flight catch both booster arms ?
YES — Event Occurs1.49
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur3.03
ENGINEERING FEAT
NASDAQ
Will Tesla's Optimus robot complete a 10-min unsupervised factory task by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.04
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.96
ENGINEERING FEAT
NYSE
Will Boeing's Starliner complete a crewed ISS mission without abort before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.85
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.17
ENGINEERING FEAT
SZSE
Will BYD deliver a solid-state battery EV to consumers before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs3.23
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.45
ENGINEERING FEAT
XETRA
Will Siemens complete a fully autonomous factory pilot in Europe by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.33
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.75
ENGINEERING FEAT
Tadawul
Will Aramco complete its first carbon-capture facility at scale before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.63
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.61
ENGINEERING FEAT
DFM
Will EMAAR complete the Dubai Creek Tower structure by Dec 2027?
YES — Event Occurs3.85
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.35
ENGINEERING FEAT
NYSE
Will Vale deploy fully autonomous mining trucks at all Brazilian sites by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.27
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.79
ENGINEERING FEAT
NYSE
Will Itaú Unibanco launch a fully AI-powered branch with no human tellers by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.78
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.56
ENGINEERING FEAT
NYSE
Will TSMC begin mass production of 1nm chips before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs4.55
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.28
AI MILESTONE
Private
Will OpenAI's next model surpass 95% on MMLU public benchmark?
YES — Event Occurs1.35
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur3.85
AI MILESTONE
NASDAQ
Will Google's Gemini Ultra 3 outperform GPT-5 on at least 3 public benchmarks?
YES — Event Occurs2.08
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.92
AI MILESTONE
NASDAQ
Will Microsoft announce 10,000+ job cuts due to AI automation in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.56
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.64
AI MILESTONE
NASDAQ
Will Meta open-source a model that tops Hugging Face leaderboard in 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.61
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.63
AI MILESTONE
Private
Will Anthropic's Claude 4 achieve 90%+ on ARC-AGI benchmark?
YES — Event Occurs1.82
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.22
AI MILESTONE
AEX
Will ASML ship its first High-NA EUV machine to a customer before Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.41
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur3.45
AI MILESTONE
XETRA
Will SAP replace 15%+ of its workforce with AI agents by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs3.70
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.37
AI MILESTONE
Private
Will Databricks release an open-source LLM that beats Llama 4 on coding benchmarks?
YES — Event Occurs2.17
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.85
AI MILESTONE
NASDAQ
Will Baidu's ERNIE Bot surpass 500M monthly active users by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs1.89
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur2.13
AI MILESTONE
Tadawul
Will Al Rajhi Bank deploy a fully AI-powered loan approval system by Dec 2026?
YES — Event Occurs2.08
NO
NO — Event Doesn't Occur1.92
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